Long-term expected inflation (5y5y) today: value, history and context
Data as of Oct 27, 2026
+2.21 Informative
Higher than on 56% of the days of the last 10 years.
Change over 1 week: −0.11. Over 1 month: −0.13.
Last month
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | +2.21 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | +2.20 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | +2.19 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | +2.34 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | +2.31 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | +2.32 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | +2.33 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | +2.31 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | +2.34 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | +2.33 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | +2.32 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | +2.33 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | +2.33 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | +2.35 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | +2.35 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | +2.36 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | +2.35 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | +2.36 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | +2.36 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | +2.36 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | +2.35 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | +2.34 |
Over the last 10 years
- High: +2.67 (Apr 22, 2022).
- Low: +0.86 (Mar 20, 2020).
- A year ago: +2.18.
What it is
The inflation investors expect five to ten years from now. The Fed watches it to see whether expectations stay anchored. Context only. 5-year, 5-year forward inflation expectation, derived from nominal and inflation-protected yields, in %. Part of the theme "US inflation": How fast prices and wages rise: what decides whether the Fed raises or cuts rates.
How to read it
It is context: its position against its history is shown, but it carries no colour and does not count in the traffic light.
Frequently asked questions
What is Long-term expected inflation (5y5y)?
The inflation investors expect five to ten years from now. The Fed watches it to see whether expectations stay anchored. Context only. 5-year, 5-year forward inflation expectation, derived from nominal and inflation-protected yields, in %.
Does it predict the stock market?
No. It describes where things stand today against their history, with no forecasts or recommendations.
See the detail on Stock Signal Lab →
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