Expected inflation (5 years) today: value, history and context
Data as of Oct 27, 2026
2.47 % Informative
Higher than on 78% of the days of the last 10 years.
Change over 1 week: +0.09 pp. Over 1 month: +0.13 pp.
Last month
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | 2.47 % |
| Oct 26, 2026 | 2.48 % |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 2.45 % |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 2.40 % |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 2.39 % |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 2.38 % |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 2.37 % |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 2.33 % |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 2.36 % |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 2.33 % |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 2.34 % |
| Oct 12, 2026 | 2.37 % |
| Oct 9, 2026 | 2.37 % |
| Oct 8, 2026 | 2.37 % |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 2.37 % |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 2.36 % |
| Oct 5, 2026 | 2.37 % |
| Oct 2, 2026 | 2.36 % |
| Oct 1, 2026 | 2.36 % |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 2.34 % |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 2.33 % |
| Sep 28, 2026 | 2.34 % |
Over the last 10 years
- High: 3.59 % (Mar 28, 2022).
- Low: 0.14 % (Mar 20, 2020).
- A year ago: 2.40 %.
What it is
The inflation investors expect over the next 5 years. Context only. 5-year breakeven inflation: nominal minus inflation-protected yield, in %. Part of the theme "US inflation": How fast prices and wages rise: what decides whether the Fed raises or cuts rates.
How to read it
It is context: its position against its history is shown, but it carries no colour and does not count in the traffic light.
Frequently asked questions
What is Expected inflation (5 years)?
The inflation investors expect over the next 5 years. Context only. 5-year breakeven inflation: nominal minus inflation-protected yield, in %.
Does it predict the stock market?
No. It describes where things stand today against their history, with no forecasts or recommendations.
See the detail on Stock Signal Lab →
Related
- Core PCE inflation: distance to 2% today: value, history and context
- Core CPI: distance to 2% today: value, history and context
- Core inflation: last 3 months today: value, history and context
- Wage growth today: value, history and context
- Producer prices today: value, history and context
- Long-term expected inflation (5y5y) today: value, history and context
- US inflation: how the market stands today
- How is the stock market today: the market traffic light
- Spain risk premium today
- VIX today: Wall Street's fear index
- High-yield spread today: the cost of risky credit
- S&P 500 versus its 200-day moving average today
- All data