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US economy: how the market stands today

Data as of Oct 27, 2026

Fair

Its indicators

IndicatorValueColour
10-year real interest rate2.66 %Poor
Jobless claims (4-week average)197,750Good
Sahm rule0.00 ppFair
US economic activity+0.03Fair
Building permits (y/y)−3.2 %Poor
Expected inflation (10 years)2.34 %Informative
Fed interest rate3.88 %Informative
Dollar versus other currencies121.12Informative
Oil (WTI)97.31 $Informative
Fed net liquidity5,808 bn $Informative
Fed net liquidity (13-week change)−1.7 %Informative

Last month

DateColour
Oct 27, 2026Fair
Oct 26, 2026Fair
Oct 23, 2026Fair
Oct 22, 2026Fair
Oct 21, 2026Fair
Oct 20, 2026Fair
Oct 19, 2026Fair
Oct 16, 2026Fair
Oct 15, 2026Fair
Oct 14, 2026Fair
Oct 13, 2026Fair
Oct 12, 2026Fair
Oct 9, 2026Fair
Oct 8, 2026Fair
Oct 7, 2026Fair
Oct 6, 2026Fair
Oct 5, 2026Fair
Oct 2, 2026Fair
Oct 1, 2026Fair
Sep 30, 2026Fair
Sep 29, 2026Fair
Sep 28, 2026Fair

What it is

The economic backdrop for stocks: interest rates, jobs and activity.

How to read it

The theme’s colour sums up its indicators against their last 10 years. It describes the present and anticipates nothing.

Frequently asked questions

What is US economy?

The economic backdrop for stocks: interest rates, jobs and activity.

Does it predict the stock market?

No. It describes where things stand today against their history, with no forecasts or recommendations.

See the detail on Stock Signal Lab →

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