Italy risk premium today: value, history and context

Data as of Oct 27, 2026

80 bp Good

Data for Aug 31, 2026

Higher than on 4% of the days of the last 10 years.

Change over 1 week: 0 bp. Over 1 month: −1 bp.

Last month

Date	Value	Colour
Oct 27, 2026	80 bp	Good
Oct 26, 2026	80 bp	Good
Oct 23, 2026	80 bp	Good
Oct 22, 2026	80 bp	Good
Oct 21, 2026	80 bp	Good
Oct 20, 2026	80 bp	Good
Oct 19, 2026	80 bp	Good
Oct 16, 2026	81 bp	Good
Oct 15, 2026	81 bp	Good
Oct 14, 2026	81 bp	Good
Oct 13, 2026	81 bp	Good
Oct 12, 2026	81 bp	Good
Oct 9, 2026	81 bp	Good
Oct 8, 2026	81 bp	Good
Oct 7, 2026	81 bp	Good
Oct 6, 2026	81 bp	Good
Oct 5, 2026	81 bp	Good
Oct 2, 2026	81 bp	Good
Oct 1, 2026	81 bp	Good
Sep 30, 2026	81 bp	Good
Sep 29, 2026	81 bp	Good
Sep 28, 2026	81 bp	Good

Over the last 10 years

High: 308 bp (Jan 18, 2019).
Low: 64 bp (Apr 15, 2026).
A year ago: 87 bp.

What it is

The extra Italy pays over Germany to borrow. Often the first gauge of stress in the euro area. Italian 10-year bond yield minus the German one, in basis points. Part of the theme "Europe": What matters to a euro investor: risk premiums, ECB rates, Euribor and the euro against the dollar.

How to read it

Higher means more risk. The colour compares today’s value with the indicator’s own last 10 years: "Good" is the most favourable third of its history, "Poor" the most strained. It describes the present and anticipates nothing.

Frequently asked questions

What is Italy risk premium?

The extra Italy pays over Germany to borrow. Often the first gauge of stress in the euro area. Italian 10-year bond yield minus the German one, in basis points.

What does a high value mean?

The higher, the more risk or strain. The colour compares it with its last 10 years: its high and low over that period are shown above.

Does it predict the stock market?

No. It describes where things stand today against their history, with no forecasts or recommendations.

See the detail on Stock Signal Lab →